US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
    Business / View

    Q1 economic data: what the economists say

    (chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2015-04-16 11:15

    China's economic growth fell to a six-year low of 7 percent in the first quarter, buffeted by sharp declines in industrial production and real estate construction, according to government data released Wednesday.

    Economic figure released by the National Bureau of Statistics also showed that industrial output growth dropped to a post-crisis low of 5.6 percent in March, down from 6.8 percent in the first two months of the year and from 7.9 percent in December.

    Growth in consumption, weak in realty: RBS

    According to Louis Kuijs, chief economist of greater China of the Royal Bank of Scotland in Hong Kong, GDP growth slowed reflecting downward pressures from real estate weakness and lower export growth.

    However, Kuijs and the RBS expect the Chinese economy to end 2015 on a good note and that the weakness in the economy was cushioned by solid growth in consumption.

    The released data also revealed that fixed-asset investment growth dipped to a historic low of 13.5 percent in the first quarter, compared with the average of 15.7 percent last year, showing further weakness in the manufacturing and property sectors.

    Year-on-year retail sales growth in March slowed to 10.2 percent, the lowest level since March 2006, compared with 10.7 percent in the first two months.

    Tight monetary conditions: Bloomberg

    Bloomberg economists Tom Orlik and Fielding Chen offered a harsher view on the numbers, citing that the data paints a dreary picture for the state of the economy.

    Orlik and Chen point out that while the government reached its 7 percent target, monthly output data point to a troubling loss of momentum and investment, exports and consumption are all slowing. The also indicated that inflation is low and credit expansion is weak.

    Breaking the numbers down, according to Orlik and Chen, retail sales have slowed down and are impeded by concerns about wage growth. The duo also say that the crackdown on corruption is having an impact on spending based on the falling gaming revenue in Macau and jewelry sales in Hong Kong.

    According to the duo, weak export data is a blow to competitiveness of a stronger yuan and the lackluster recovery of major trader partners such as the US.

    Despite all the negative signs, all three economists expect the government to continue and maybe further ease policies to ensure that growth in the coming months will remain around 7 percent.

    Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

    Hot Topics

    Editor's Picks
    ...
    免费无码毛片一区二区APP| 天堂√最新版中文在线天堂| а天堂8中文最新版在线官网| 亚洲av无码国产精品色午夜字幕| 中文无码制服丝袜人妻av| 麻豆aⅴ精品无码一区二区 | 亚洲v国产v天堂a无码久久| 中文字幕乱码无码人妻系列蜜桃| 久久久久成人精品无码中文字幕 | 日韩人妻无码精品久久久不卡| 久久久噜噜噜久久中文福利| 日韩久久无码免费毛片软件| 无码人妻精品一区二区三18禁| 日韩久久久久中文字幕人妻| 中文字幕AV中文字无码亚| 亚洲国产精品无码久久青草| 4444亚洲人成无码网在线观看| 亚洲av日韩av无码| 亚洲精品无码av人在线观看| 在线观看中文字幕码| 日韩中文字幕在线播放| 三级理论中文字幕在线播放| 中文文字幕文字幕亚洲色| 极品粉嫩嫩模大尺度无码视频| 久久久久亚洲Av无码专| 无码精品黑人一区二区三区| 亚洲av无码一区二区三区在线播放| 中文字幕无码久久人妻| 一级片无码中文字幕乱伦| 最近最新中文字幕完整版| 最新中文字幕在线| 佐佐木明希一区二区中文字幕| 在线观看中文字幕| 中文字幕在线最新在线不卡| 欧美日韩中文字幕在线看| 亚洲中文字幕无码专区| 国产aⅴ无码专区亚洲av麻豆 | 免费看又黄又无码的网站| 亚洲AV无码国产精品色午友在线| 无码永久免费AV网站| 久久男人Av资源网站无码软件|