Mobile
    CPI declines, but deflation fears ease
    2009-May-12 07:41:15

    The specter of deflation is fading even though consumer and producer prices have continued to fall, economists said Monday.

    The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key gauge of inflation, fell 1.5 percent in April from a year earlier, the third straight month of decline.

    The index declined at a quicker pace in April, the National Bureau of Statistics said Monday. The drop was 1.2 percent in March.

    The Producer Price Index (PPI), which monitors factory-gate price changes, slid for the fifth month, dropping 6.6 percent in April from a year earlier, compared with 6 percent in March.

    "Although the indices continued to see negative growth in April, deflationary concerns appear to be subsiding as the economy shows signs of recovery," said Jing Ulrich, chairman of China equities at JPMorgan.

    Analysts said the fall of the indices is not as worrisome as it appears because of their high reference point - sharp rises in the prices of food and raw materials last year and their subsequent fall in the early months of this year.

    CPI declines, but deflation fears ease

     

     

     

     

    For example, pork prices plummeted 28.6 percent in April from a year earlier. And crude dropped 53.6 percent, despite a recent rally on global markets.

    "As the economy continues to recover and credit growth continues to expand, consumer prices should show an uptrend in the second half of the year," Ulrich said.

    Over the past months, there have been signs that the economy has bottomed out. Strong loan growth and the government's $586-billion stimulus package are expected to prop up investment and help offset the impact of shrinking exports, which have long been a growth engine.

    Banks extended 591.9 billion yuan ($86.3 billion) in new loans in April, up 27.1 percent from a year earlier. That put new lending for the first four months at 5.17 trillion yuan, more than the figure for the whole of last year.

    M2, or the broader measure of money supply, surged 25.95 percent by the end of April, compared with 17.82 percent for 2008.

    Analysts say the lion's share of the loans went to government-backed infrastructure projects in the stimulus plan. That would help revive demand and stabilize the prices of industrial products in the coming months.

    Meanwhile, there are few signs of deflationary expectation among consumers, as sales in housing and car markets have rebounded.

    Frank Gong, chief economist at JP Morgan, said in an earlier interview that deflationary expectation was a major threat for economic recovery, as it would mean consumers delay spending.

    Auto sales rose 24.97 percent in April to 1.15 million units, hitting a fresh record and making the country the world's largest auto market for the fourth consecutive month, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reported last week.

    Housing sales also rebounded. Industry specialists say sales volume in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen grew more than 100 percent in the first quarter from a year ago.

    Sun Mingchun, an economist with Nomura International, said the government's stimulus measures and strong loan growth would push up PPI and that, in turn, would lead to a higher CPI. He expects China's CPI to rise 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter year on year.

    [Jump to ]
    Nation | Biz | Comment | World | Celebrity | Odds | Sports | Travel | Health
    ChinaDaily Mobile News
    m.chinadaily.com.cn
    To subscribe to China Daily, call 010-64918763 or email to circu@chinadaily.com.cn
    乱人伦中文无码视频在线观看| 中文字幕日韩人妻不卡一区| 最近完整中文字幕2019电影 | 亚洲人成人无码网www国产| 人妻中文无码久热丝袜| 亚洲AV永久无码精品一区二区| 国精品无码一区二区三区在线蜜臀| 亚洲中文字幕无码爆乳AV| 国产在线拍揄自揄拍无码| 国产在线拍偷自揄拍无码| 国产乱码精品一区二区三区中文 | 国产精品午夜福利在线无码| 亚洲中文字幕无码日韩| 最近最新中文字幕| 亚洲午夜无码久久久久小说| 91嫩草国产在线无码观看| 亚洲AV无码专区国产乱码4SE| 少妇无码AV无码一区| 中文字幕天天躁日日躁狠狠躁免费| 一本之道高清无码视频| 激情无码人妻又粗又大中国人 | 国产成人无码AV麻豆| 精品久久久久中文字幕日本| 中文字幕无码人妻AAA片| 亚洲av无码成人精品区| 久久亚洲AV永久无码精品| 久久久久久国产精品无码下载| 精品人妻系列无码天堂| 日韩精品无码AV成人观看| 亚洲国产精品无码久久| 亚洲va中文字幕无码久久| 亚洲色无码专区在线观看| 亚洲gv猛男gv无码男同短文 | 亚洲精品无码久久久久| 无码AV动漫精品一区二区免费| 无码人妻丰满熟妇啪啪网站| 少妇无码AV无码一区| 亚洲成a人片在线观看无码| 亚洲Aⅴ无码专区在线观看q| 久久精品亚洲AV久久久无码 | 久久久久无码精品国产|