久久久无码人妻精品无码_6080YYY午夜理论片中无码_性无码专区_无码人妻品一区二区三区精99

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Opinion
Home / Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Fear not, Asia remains healthy

By David Mann | China Daily | Updated: 2013-07-11 08:08

China's leverage is the most worrisome in the region, as widely understood. However, the concern arises not from its overall credit-to-GDP ratio of 214 percent, which makes it only fifth among the Asian countries in our study. Rather, the concern is that debt is concentrated in the non-financial corporate sector. This is true even after we classify local government investment vehicle debt as government debt. The pace of credit growth is also a concern. Total credit has grown 22 percent per year in the past five years, 6 percentage points faster than China's nominal GDP growth, which is the highest in the region.

The redeeming feature here is that the government has started tackling the issue by slowing growth and curbing lending to industries facing overcapacity. In the event of a significant deterioration in the economy, problem loans are likely to surface and some banks may have to be recapitalized. But unlike most other major economies today, China has sufficient financial means to inject capital and restructure its problem lenders.

Aside from China's corporate sector, the Republic of Korea's high leverage spans the economy and continues to be a drag on growth. But this problem should not be seen as a tail-risk that could threaten financial stability. The ROK has managed to avoid a hard landing since 2003 and has proactively used macro-prudential measures to limit overall leverage, particularly its external debt vulnerability.

There is also a longer-term positive story that receives little attention, but will help the global economy to rebalance. Household leverage across most of Asia - particularly in China, India and Indonesia - remains low and has the potential for growth. Indonesia's credit expansion has recently accelerated, but it still has a relatively low level of aggregate debt to GDP, giving it room to use leverage to boost growth. While India's high government debt is a concern (which the authorities are addressing), its household debt is relatively low.

In ASEAN, the emphasis is confined to household credit in some economies. Malaysia's household leverage is high, as is Singapore's on some metrics. However, both countries' household sectors have accumulated high liquid assets through mandatory savings. In Thailand, although relatively fast recent credit growth has led to a rise in solvency stress indicators, levels of debt and debt-service indicators provide comfort and do not raise immediate concerns. The Philippine economy, an out-performer in Asia, has plenty of room to expand its private-sector leverage to boost domestic consumption and sustain growth. There is also ample scope for the private sector to partner with the government in financing ambitious infrastructure projects.

Our study shows that while there are pockets of emerging concern, Asia's fundamentals remain robust. Strong government and household balance sheets and still-high economic growth rates across most of the region provide sufficient flexibility to counter inevitable bumps as the economic cycle turns.

Learning from Asia's financial crisis in 1997-98, the region's economies have been using macro-prudential policies since before they were considered to be best practice. Hong Kong and Singapore are prime examples of how such measures have been used to curb property price increases. We see scope for several Asian economies to increase borrowing to maximize their growth potential.

In light of this assessment, the current turmoil in the emerging markets should prove transitory for Asia. It does provide a timely opportunity to clean up stressed balance sheets in parts of the region, but it also sets the stage for the next phase of more durable and sustainable growth.

The recovery in the US, which has triggered the latest round of soul-searching, combined with Japan's revival, should be seen as an added bonus, not detraction, for emerging markets and the wider global economy.

The author is regional head of research, Asia, at Standard Chartered Bank.

(China Daily 07/11/2013 page9)

Previous 1 2 Next

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
久久久无码人妻精品无码_6080YYY午夜理论片中无码_性无码专区_无码人妻品一区二区三区精99

    国产精品欧美综合在线| 天天综合天天综合色| 成人av午夜电影| 亚洲女与黑人做爰| 欧美日韩亚洲丝袜制服| 日本不卡视频在线| 久久精品一区二区三区不卡| 不卡的电影网站| 亚洲图片一区二区| 精品国产制服丝袜高跟| 成人av在线一区二区| 亚洲一区二区三区激情| 欧美大片日本大片免费观看| 国产高清亚洲一区| 亚洲韩国精品一区| 精品国产伦一区二区三区观看方式| 国产成人在线色| 亚洲午夜国产一区99re久久| 精品人在线二区三区| 99久久国产综合精品麻豆 | 久久亚洲综合av| 99v久久综合狠狠综合久久| 午夜婷婷国产麻豆精品| 久久青草国产手机看片福利盒子| 91麻豆免费看| 久久精品久久久精品美女| 中文字幕欧美区| 欧美久久一二区| 福利电影一区二区| 午夜精品福利一区二区蜜股av| 欧美大片在线观看| 91麻豆免费观看| 精品一区二区成人精品| 夜夜嗨av一区二区三区网页| 久久影院午夜论| 欧美视频完全免费看| 国产成人激情av| 日韩精品欧美精品| 亚洲欧美自拍偷拍| 欧美成人一区二区三区片免费 | 国产欧美一区二区精品性| 欧美在线免费观看亚洲| 国产成人精品午夜视频免费| 亚洲va韩国va欧美va精品| 国产欧美日韩三级| 日韩一区二区麻豆国产| 色天天综合色天天久久| 国产麻豆欧美日韩一区| 亚洲福中文字幕伊人影院| 中文字幕精品在线不卡| 日韩精品中文字幕在线一区| 欧美在线一二三四区| 国产不卡视频一区| 久久国产麻豆精品| 亚洲一区二区三区视频在线| 欧美国产精品v| 日韩精品专区在线影院重磅| 欧美色图免费看| 波多野结衣在线一区| 久久国产乱子精品免费女| 亚洲图片自拍偷拍| 亚洲日本一区二区| 国产亚洲精品中文字幕| 日韩欧美卡一卡二| 制服丝袜日韩国产| 欧美丝袜丝交足nylons图片| www.亚洲精品| 国产成人无遮挡在线视频| 蜜臀久久久99精品久久久久久| 一二三四区精品视频| 亚洲视频一二三区| 国产精品理论在线观看| 久久久久久久一区| 精品国产免费视频| 日韩区在线观看| 91精品国产乱码久久蜜臀| 欧美日韩成人综合在线一区二区 | 一本久道久久综合中文字幕| 成人免费高清在线| 国产一区在线看| 激情久久五月天| 久88久久88久久久| 麻豆精品视频在线观看视频| 日韩av不卡在线观看| 日韩经典中文字幕一区| 三级久久三级久久| 五月天欧美精品| 污片在线观看一区二区| 亚洲va韩国va欧美va精品 | 精品伊人久久久久7777人| 日韩电影在线一区二区三区| 无码av中文一区二区三区桃花岛| 亚洲第一福利一区| 午夜不卡av免费| 日韩电影在线观看电影| 日本成人中文字幕在线视频| 日本美女一区二区三区| 青青国产91久久久久久| 蜜臀av国产精品久久久久| 久久国产乱子精品免费女| 精品一区二区三区欧美| 国产一区视频网站| 国产精品1区二区.| 成人午夜av电影| 99re视频精品| 91国在线观看| 欧美日韩成人一区| 欧美一区二区二区| 亚洲精品一区二区三区在线观看| 亚洲精品一区二区在线观看| 国产日韩欧美高清在线| 国产精品初高中害羞小美女文 | 亚洲精品一二三四区| 一区二区三区小说| 亚洲国产裸拍裸体视频在线观看乱了 | 欧美性大战久久久久久久蜜臀| 欧美在线一区二区三区| 欧美高清性hdvideosex| 日韩精品一区二区在线观看| 久久精品一区二区三区不卡牛牛 | 国产成人精品午夜视频免费| 99综合影院在线| 欧美亚洲动漫精品| 欧美一级高清片在线观看| 久久久欧美精品sm网站| 国产精品久久久爽爽爽麻豆色哟哟| 136国产福利精品导航| 亚洲一区二区三区四区中文字幕| 日韩黄色小视频| 国产成人欧美日韩在线电影| 97久久久精品综合88久久| 欧美色视频一区| 亚洲精品在线免费观看视频| 国产精品天干天干在线综合| 一区二区三区毛片| 蜜臀va亚洲va欧美va天堂 | 91福利视频在线| 日韩欧美亚洲国产精品字幕久久久| 久久精品视频一区二区| 一区二区三区精品视频| 免费观看久久久4p| 播五月开心婷婷综合| 7777女厕盗摄久久久| 精品国产免费久久 | 亚洲精品视频自拍| 日韩激情视频在线观看| 成人自拍视频在线观看| 欧美体内she精视频| 久久午夜羞羞影院免费观看| 亚洲欧美电影一区二区| 久久精工是国产品牌吗| va亚洲va日韩不卡在线观看| 欧美日韩不卡一区| 国产欧美一区二区精品性色 | 欧美午夜片在线观看| 26uuu亚洲| 亚洲综合色视频| 国产大片一区二区| 欧美日韩成人一区| 中文字幕欧美激情一区| 日韩中文字幕区一区有砖一区| 成人一区二区三区中文字幕| 欧美精品高清视频| 国产精品传媒视频| 久久er99精品| 欧美亚洲一区二区在线观看| 久久精品人人爽人人爽| 亚洲成人在线观看视频| 懂色av中文字幕一区二区三区| 欧美精品在线一区二区| 国产精品黄色在线观看| 精品一区二区三区视频在线观看| 日本精品裸体写真集在线观看| www精品美女久久久tv| 亚洲一区二区精品视频| 成人一区二区三区视频在线观看 | 一区二区三区在线看| 国产精品一区二区果冻传媒| 欧美日韩午夜在线视频| 中文av字幕一区| 久久精品国产秦先生| 欧美在线制服丝袜| 中文字幕精品—区二区四季| 久久精品免费观看| 欧美日韩dvd在线观看| 一区在线播放视频| 激情五月激情综合网| 欧美精品日韩综合在线| 亚洲精品精品亚洲| 成人黄页毛片网站| 精品对白一区国产伦| 天天亚洲美女在线视频| 一本色道久久综合亚洲aⅴ蜜桃| 国产日韩欧美麻豆| 极品少妇xxxx精品少妇偷拍| 在线成人免费观看| 一区二区高清在线| 色综合久久综合网97色综合| 中文字幕av不卡| 国产一区二区电影|