久久久无码人妻精品无码_6080YYY午夜理论片中无码_性无码专区_无码人妻品一区二区三区精99

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Emerging market prospects

By Louis Kuijs (China Daily) Updated: 2013-09-06 07:05

The US Federal Reserve Board seems on course to start reducing the pace of buying bonds. It will eventually raise interest rates, too. After the financial turmoil this prospect has already caused in recent weeks in several emerging markets, notably in Asia, what does it mean for them as they move forward and what should governments do to mitigate the impact?

In recent years, very low interest rates and quantitative easing (QE) in several high-income countries led to large flows of financial capital into emerging economies, including in Asia, fueling credit growth and raising asset prices.

The tapering off of QE and normalization of US monetary policy could lead to a reversal of part of these flows as US yields rise. Indeed, talk by Fed officials about a possible timeline have since June led to higher US bond yields and in recent weeks to a selloff in the financial markets in several emerging economies, especially in Asia.

The financial turbulence notwithstanding, sudden changes in US monetary policy are not on the agenda. The Fed will first reduce the pace of bond buying. The buying would stop later, depending on sufficient growth and unemployment reduction. And the end of QE does not mean the end of easy monetary policy. At Royal Bank of Scotland, we expect the Fed to keep the interest rate at 0-0.25 percent until 2015.

The prospective normalization of the US monetary stance will take place for a good reason: sufficient economic growth and unemployment reduction in the world's largest economy. That is good for the global economy and the export-oriented Asian economies.

Moreover, long-term economic growth prospects in most emerging markets have not changed suddenly. With their current levels of productivity and income much lower than in high-income countries, emerging markets still have a lot of room to grow. Emerging Asia, in particular, has shown it is capable of tapping such long-term growth potential. Thus, emerging markets are likely to remain the key drivers of global growth in the coming decades.

Nonetheless, there are underlying reasons for the recent selloff in emerging markets. Some of the capital inflows were not financing long-term growth. Instead, they were of a short-term nature and not resistant to higher US yields. Financial vulnerabilities built up in countries such as India and Indonesia because they ran up sizeable current account deficits and relied on financial capital inflows to finance them.

Other emerging Asian economies have faced these issues in a less pronounced manner. At the same time, economies with strong current account positions that do not rely on financial capital inflows such as the Chinese mainland, Taiwan and the Republic of Korea have not seen much turbulence.

With controls on many forms of financial capital, China did not see major inflows of capital triggered by QE. As a result, there is not much of mobile foreign financial capital that wants to retreat from China. The Chinese economy saw an apparent sizeable net outflow of financial capital in 2012 and a substantial inflow in the first half of 2013. But the bulk of that was actually carried out by Chinese enterprises - making use of the arbitrage opportunities offered by the internationalization of the yuan - rather than being international money.

This does not mean that economies such as China would not feel the impact of further turmoil in emerging markets. Growth of global demand and exports could suffer if the withdrawal of foreign capital from other emerging markets weakens their growth.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

Most Viewed Today's Top News
New type of urbanization is in the details
...
久久久无码人妻精品无码_6080YYY午夜理论片中无码_性无码专区_无码人妻品一区二区三区精99

    日韩一区二区在线观看视频播放| 国产精品美女一区二区三区| 精品亚洲国内自在自线福利| 日韩精品专区在线影院重磅| 国产精品中文字幕欧美| 国产精品国产自产拍高清av王其| 在线观看不卡一区| 琪琪久久久久日韩精品| 日本一区二区三区视频视频| 91福利资源站| 裸体歌舞表演一区二区| 国产精品拍天天在线| 欧美性猛交xxxx乱大交退制版 | 亚洲一区二区三区中文字幕在线| 欧美日本国产视频| 国产一区欧美二区| 亚洲猫色日本管| 日韩一区二区免费高清| 国产成人a级片| 一区二区不卡在线视频 午夜欧美不卡在| 欧美一区日本一区韩国一区| 国产精品66部| 亚洲国产毛片aaaaa无费看| 精品国产百合女同互慰| 91在线视频官网| 麻豆精品视频在线观看免费| 亚洲欧美影音先锋| 欧美一级精品大片| av电影在线不卡| 蜜臀久久99精品久久久画质超高清| 国产欧美日韩三级| 欧美日韩在线播| 国产91精品欧美| 日韩中文字幕麻豆| 国产精品白丝在线| 日韩精品一区二区三区视频| 91猫先生在线| 国产一区视频在线看| 亚洲第一搞黄网站| 国产精品人人做人人爽人人添| 欧美视频在线一区二区三区| 国产成人精品三级麻豆| 爽爽淫人综合网网站| 国产精品麻豆欧美日韩ww| 日韩欧美一二三四区| 91极品美女在线| 成人深夜福利app| 麻豆国产91在线播放| 亚洲精品伦理在线| 91精品国产高清一区二区三区蜜臀 | 亚洲自拍偷拍麻豆| 久久免费国产精品| 欧美二区在线观看| 91免费小视频| 国产精品正在播放| 男男视频亚洲欧美| 综合激情成人伊人| 久久久美女毛片| 日韩午夜精品视频| 欧美在线一二三四区| 成人久久视频在线观看| 久久超碰97中文字幕| 首页国产欧美久久| 一区二区三区电影在线播| 国产精品久久综合| 久久久久久久久蜜桃| 欧美一区二区网站| 欧美欧美欧美欧美| 91高清在线观看| 99精品国产99久久久久久白柏 | 国产精品中文字幕日韩精品| 免费高清成人在线| 亚洲超丰满肉感bbw| 亚洲视频精选在线| 国产精品成人免费| 国产欧美一区二区在线| 久久综合色婷婷| 欧美成人高清电影在线| 日韩一卡二卡三卡| 91麻豆精品91久久久久久清纯| 欧美综合色免费| 色婷婷亚洲一区二区三区| av不卡免费在线观看| 成人福利视频在线看| 国产成人精品影视| 国产成人亚洲综合色影视| 国产一区二区视频在线| 狠狠色综合日日| 精品一区二区免费看| 精品一区二区三区免费毛片爱| 青青草成人在线观看| 日本不卡1234视频| 日本女人一区二区三区| 免费在线观看一区二区三区| 日韩av网站在线观看| 人人精品人人爱| 久久精品国产在热久久| 老司机精品视频导航| 久久精品国产秦先生| 久久综合综合久久综合| 久久国内精品视频| 国产一区91精品张津瑜| 国产白丝精品91爽爽久久| 国产精品影视天天线| 粉嫩一区二区三区在线看| 成人永久看片免费视频天堂| 成人毛片在线观看| 一本大道av一区二区在线播放| 色88888久久久久久影院按摩 | 一区二区三区免费观看| 亚洲一区二区中文在线| 午夜视频久久久久久| 美女免费视频一区二区| 黑人巨大精品欧美一区| 国产成人精品影视| 99re成人在线| 欧美日本一区二区三区四区| 欧美一区二区三区在线| 精品粉嫩超白一线天av| 国产精品美女久久久久久久| 亚洲精品免费在线观看| 偷拍与自拍一区| 韩国精品主播一区二区在线观看 | 一区二区三区不卡在线观看| 亚洲bt欧美bt精品777| 免费人成在线不卡| 国产二区国产一区在线观看| 成人av手机在线观看| 欧洲一区在线观看| 日韩午夜中文字幕| 国产日韩欧美制服另类| 亚洲免费观看高清完整| 日韩电影在线观看电影| 国产精品69毛片高清亚洲| 色婷婷综合久久久中文字幕| 91精品国产乱码| 国产欧美日韩一区二区三区在线观看| 亚洲精品一二三四区| 日日夜夜精品视频免费| 国产福利91精品| 欧美性猛交xxxx乱大交退制版| 欧美电影免费观看高清完整版在| 中文字幕第一区第二区| 亚洲综合免费观看高清在线观看| 美女网站视频久久| 99精品久久99久久久久| 91精品啪在线观看国产60岁| 国产亚洲精品久| 亚洲成人午夜影院| 国产精品888| 欧美三区在线视频| 国产视频一区二区在线观看| 亚洲精品国产a久久久久久| 蜜臀精品久久久久久蜜臀| 99天天综合性| 日韩欧美视频在线| 国产精品久久福利| 日韩 欧美一区二区三区| 成人一道本在线| 欧美肥胖老妇做爰| 日韩精品三区四区| 国产成人自拍网| 欧美日韩久久一区二区| 中文字幕二三区不卡| 丝瓜av网站精品一区二区 | 精品国产网站在线观看| 亚洲美女免费视频| 国产在线精品免费| 欧美日韩国产不卡| 亚洲欧洲日产国产综合网| 蜜桃精品视频在线| 在线一区二区三区四区五区 | 精品少妇一区二区三区日产乱码 | 一区二区三区蜜桃| 国产福利精品导航| 欧美一区二区三区视频| 日韩一区中文字幕| 国产一区二区剧情av在线| 在线影院国内精品| 亚洲国产精品二十页| 免费高清成人在线| 欧美性猛交一区二区三区精品 | 亚洲一区二区三区免费视频| 国产成人免费9x9x人网站视频| 欧美高清hd18日本| 亚洲精品五月天| 丁香六月综合激情| 精品1区2区在线观看| 日韩精品三区四区| 色哦色哦哦色天天综合| 欧美激情资源网| 国内精品国产成人| 日韩视频一区二区三区在线播放| 亚洲最新视频在线播放| 丰满少妇在线播放bd日韩电影| 精品久久久久av影院| 日本不卡高清视频| 欧美日韩亚洲综合一区二区三区| 亚洲欧美一区二区久久| 成人av网址在线|