久久久无码人妻精品无码_6080YYY午夜理论片中无码_性无码专区_无码人妻品一区二区三区精99

Make me your Homepage
left corner left corner
China Daily Website

Aiming to combine reform with growth

Updated: 2014-03-06 13:25
By Louis Kuijs (chinadaily.com.cn)

The Prime Minister's work report for 2014 presented at the National People's Congress yesterday confirms that the government plans to start implementing a fairly comprehensive set of reforms this year. Following the details of the communique released after the third plenum in November, the government work report this year discusses plans to increase the role of markets and private enterprise and, in conjunction, a recalibration of the role of the government.

However, the approach to changes in economic policy remains cautious and gradual in several ways. First, growth remains the key objective. The report stresses that "development (that is, growth) remains the key to solving all our country's problems" and that China "must keep economic development as the central task and maintain a proper economic growth rate". Accordingly, the GDP growth target remained unchanged at 7.5 percent.

In the government's terminology, fiscal policy will remain "proactive" and monetary policy "prudent" in 2014, although these labels do not say much about the actual stance. The government's budget aims to keep the official fiscal deficit unchanged at 2.1 percent of GDP. The total fiscal deficit, including the borrowing by local governments from banks and the shadow banking system, is likely to be substantially higher, as it was in recent years, but it is hard to know how high. The report does not contain many specifics on the planned monetary policy stance, other than announcing that the M2 growth target has remained at 13 percent. It stresses the need to "foster a stable monetary and financial environment" and "strengthen macro-prudential management to encourage an appropriate increase of monetary credit and nongovernmental financing."

What does this all mean for the outlook for growth and policy this year? In the fairly benign base scenario of RBS, with sufficient "organic growth", the government can make progress with reining in the pace of the rise in the credit to GDP ratio while protecting its bottom line on growth. In a less benign scenario, with less organic growth, the government is likely to be less forceful on reining in credit growth, given the emphasis on growth. In that case, systemic financial problems or instability remain unlikely any time soon. However, financial risks would rise further and financial market sentiment would remain bearish.

Second, the approach to rebalancing the pattern of growth seems to have evolved, and investment remains the key for the government. Many experts and China's 12th Five Year Plan (5YP) call for a rebalancing of the pattern of growth away from investment and industry towards consumption and services. However, nowadays the government puts the objective somewhat differently. It calls for increasing domestic demand and boosting consumption. But it also wants to "fully leverage … the key role of investment" and says it "will take investment as the key to maintaining stable economic growth."

Third, the government plans a pragmatic approach on how quickly to move in different areas of reform. Even though the government calls for “breaking vested interest”, the report also calls for a "focus on areas where the public call for reform is strongest" and "links on which there is extensive public consensus". Thus, the reform areas that are likely to see significant progress are the ones where there is broad agreement and no strong vested interest resistance. Indeed, looking at the various reform areas, the plans are relatively concrete in areas where there is good agreement and no strong vested interest resistance.

This is especially the case for financial and monetary reform, where the reports' language is quite concrete on the direction – toward a deposit insurance scheme, liberalizing interest rates, expanding the yuan's trading band, and more Renminbi convertibility under the capital account – although there are no indications on timing.

Also, the government plans further progress on administrative reform and delegation of power to lower levels of government, reducing red tape, and making the formation and operations of businesses easier.

On the other hand, the approach is more gradual and cautious in areas where reform is more difficult, such as in the case of fiscal reform, rural land reform, and SOE-related reforms. In the fiscal area, the plans and intentions on changing the fiscal relations between local and central governments, as well as on tax policy, remain particularly cautiously and gradual.

Having said that, the report has more concrete language than previous top level documents on the complicated area of improving the quality of urbanization and Hukou reform. The government commits to "progressively grant urban residency to rural migrant workers and their families who are both willing and able to stay in cities and towns where they have had jobs or done businesses for a long time" and "steadily extend basic public services to fully cover the permanent population of cities and towns so that the rural people who live in them can contribute to the development of modern urban life and enjoy it together with the urban people." In this vein, the government has set itself three tasks involving 100 million people, on granting urban residency to migrants, rebuilding rundown urban areas, and guiding further urbanization in the central and western regions.

In all, the government plans to start a fairly comprehensive set of reforms, although the approach to changes in economic policy remains cautious and gradual.

The author is chief China economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in Hong Kong.

8.03K
...
久久久无码人妻精品无码_6080YYY午夜理论片中无码_性无码专区_无码人妻品一区二区三区精99

    久久er精品视频| 成人一区二区三区中文字幕| 日韩免费高清电影| 麻豆一区二区三| 久久久久久久久久久黄色| 99综合影院在线| 亚洲成人资源在线| 日韩欧美黄色影院| 成人av网站免费| 亚洲国产综合91精品麻豆| 欧美一级日韩一级| 丁香婷婷综合五月| 亚洲一线二线三线久久久| ㊣最新国产の精品bt伙计久久| 97久久精品人人爽人人爽蜜臀| 性做久久久久久免费观看| 亚洲精品在线免费播放| 97se狠狠狠综合亚洲狠狠| 午夜视频一区在线观看| 国产亚洲欧美色| 欧美午夜精品一区二区三区 | 亚洲一区在线免费观看| 91精品免费观看| 成人性生交大片免费看在线播放 | av不卡在线播放| 亚洲一区在线电影| 精品少妇一区二区三区免费观看| 成人网页在线观看| 亚洲夂夂婷婷色拍ww47| 久久综合色婷婷| 色老汉av一区二区三区| 久久精品国产在热久久| 日韩毛片在线免费观看| 欧美一区二区久久| 99国产精品国产精品久久| 日韩成人精品在线观看| 亚洲欧洲精品一区二区三区| 8x8x8国产精品| youjizz久久| 免费日本视频一区| 亚洲视频一区二区在线| 91麻豆精品国产91久久久使用方法 | 亚洲一二三四久久| 欧美一区二区三级| av亚洲精华国产精华精华| 日本三级韩国三级欧美三级| 1024成人网色www| 欧美mv和日韩mv的网站| 日本韩国精品在线| 国产一区二区精品在线观看| 亚洲成人免费av| 国产精品人妖ts系列视频| 3d动漫精品啪啪一区二区竹菊 | 日本乱人伦一区| 精品一区二区三区蜜桃| 亚洲精品免费一二三区| 久久人人97超碰com| 欧美亚州韩日在线看免费版国语版| 国产伦精品一区二区三区免费迷| 亚洲国产精品尤物yw在线观看| 日韩欧美国产午夜精品| 欧美中文字幕一区二区三区亚洲| 国产精品1区2区3区在线观看| 日韩影院免费视频| 亚洲欧美激情视频在线观看一区二区三区| 精品少妇一区二区三区免费观看| 欧美四级电影网| 成人sese在线| 国产乱国产乱300精品| 日韩极品在线观看| 一区二区三区在线视频免费观看| 久久久久久久网| 欧美一级久久久久久久大片| 色香蕉成人二区免费| 成人污视频在线观看| 国内精品伊人久久久久av影院| 午夜精品免费在线观看| 国产.欧美.日韩| 日韩高清一区二区| 亚洲国产一区二区在线播放| 亚洲欧美欧美一区二区三区| 国产日产精品一区| 欧美一区二区三区色| 欧美日韩一区中文字幕| 欧美在线观看视频一区二区三区 | 欧美一级精品在线| 欧美日韩久久一区二区| 欧美亚洲综合一区| 91同城在线观看| 97国产一区二区| 不卡的电视剧免费网站有什么| 国产成人精品影视| 国产综合久久久久久久久久久久| 麻豆成人在线观看| 免播放器亚洲一区| 日韩专区欧美专区| 日韩电影在线一区二区| 日韩成人一区二区三区在线观看| 午夜精品久久一牛影视| 亚洲成人中文在线| 午夜视频一区在线观看| 香蕉av福利精品导航| 亚洲成人黄色影院| 亚洲福利一区二区三区| 亚洲成人激情社区| 午夜精品免费在线观看| 日韩电影在线免费| 蜜臀精品久久久久久蜜臀 | 美女高潮久久久| 理论片日本一区| 男男成人高潮片免费网站| 日韩国产一二三区| 日韩 欧美一区二区三区| 日本不卡一区二区三区高清视频| 青青草国产精品亚洲专区无| 久久国产欧美日韩精品| 国产一区中文字幕| 国产成人免费视频精品含羞草妖精| 高清国产一区二区| 91在线云播放| 91成人免费在线| 欧美精品第一页| 欧美tk丨vk视频| 国产精品污网站| 玉米视频成人免费看| 亚洲成人动漫精品| 久久国产精品区| 成人激情av网| 91福利视频久久久久| 欧美日韩国产一区| 欧美zozozo| 国产精品拍天天在线| 亚洲免费在线视频一区 二区| 亚洲国产成人va在线观看天堂| 免费观看在线色综合| 国产精品99久久久久久久女警| 不卡高清视频专区| 欧美色网一区二区| 精品久久国产字幕高潮| 久久久久免费观看| 国产日韩精品一区| 一二三四社区欧美黄| 视频一区二区不卡| 国产精品一二二区| 精油按摩中文字幕久久| av电影在线观看完整版一区二区| 91美女精品福利| 91蝌蚪porny九色| 日韩一区二区精品在线观看| 国产亚洲综合性久久久影院| 亚洲视频在线一区二区| 日韩专区欧美专区| 国产jizzjizz一区二区| 欧美无砖砖区免费| 久久久噜噜噜久噜久久综合| 亚洲女与黑人做爰| 欧美色综合天天久久综合精品| 日韩视频在线一区二区| 日本一区二区三区四区| 亚洲午夜av在线| 国产一区二区免费视频| 色婷婷久久久久swag精品| 欧美精品一级二级| 国产精品网站导航| 亚洲成人在线免费| 国产成人精品免费网站| 欧美影视一区在线| 久久久久久久网| 午夜日韩在线电影| 风间由美一区二区三区在线观看 | 九色综合狠狠综合久久| 97精品国产97久久久久久久久久久久| 337p亚洲精品色噜噜噜| 中文字幕一区二区三区在线不卡 | 国产精品热久久久久夜色精品三区 | 亚洲色图视频网| 麻豆国产精品官网| 91久久精品网| 国产欧美日产一区| 日本美女一区二区三区| www..com久久爱| 欧美成人bangbros| 亚洲一区二区四区蜜桃| 国产麻豆精品在线| 欧美一区二区视频在线观看2020| 亚洲欧美一区二区三区久本道91| 极品尤物av久久免费看| 在线视频你懂得一区二区三区| 国产女主播视频一区二区| 奇米一区二区三区| 欧美专区日韩专区| 国产精品免费人成网站| 激情深爱一区二区| 欧美猛男gaygay网站| 亚洲欧美日本韩国| 激情成人午夜视频| 欧美日本一区二区在线观看| 亚洲欧美另类久久久精品2019| 国产一区在线看| 日韩一级免费观看|