IMF cuts China 2011-12 growth estimates

    Updated: 2011-09-22 09:11

    By Wei Tian (China Daily)

      Comments() Print Mail Large Medium  Small 分享按鈕 0

    BEIJING - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its estimate for China's growth for this year and the next, reflecting domestic tightening policies and a pessimistic outlook for the global recovery.

    IMF cuts China 2011-12 growth estimates

    The headquarters of the International Monetary Fund in Washington. The organization has lowered its forecast for China’s economic growth in 2011 to 9.5 percent.?[Photo/Agencies]

    The forecast for China's GDP growth this year was cut to 9.5 percent, compared with the June estimate of 9.6 percent, IMF said in the September 2001 edition of its World Economic Outlook. The forecast for 2012 was lowered to 9 percent from the previous 9.5 percent.

    The lower forecast is based on the ongoing policy of tightening and decreasing external demand, combined with decelerating investment as the fiscal stimulus unwinds, the report said.

    The global economic climate has become much more uncertain because of slow recovery in advanced economies and worries about debt problems in many countries, said Olivier Blanchard, the lender's chief economist.

    As part of the effort to rebalance the global economy, Blanchard urged China and other emerging economies, which have large current account surpluses, to implement plans to boost domestic demand "as fast as possible".

    "Only with this global rebalancing can we hope for stronger growth in advanced economies and, by implication, for the rest of the world," Blanchard said.

    "China's economy appears to be slowing, but only mildly, and growth remains relatively strong," Andrew Pease, chief investment strategist of Russell Investments Co Asia Pacific, said in a research note.

    He said most forecasters remain confident that China will slow only modestly in 2012. The government's plan to build 35 million affordable- housing units by 2015 is seen as minimizing the downside growth risks.

    "But the longer-term issues are whether China can sustain its exceptionally high growth rate of fixed investment spending and how it will increase the share of consumption in GDP," he said.

    The share of investment in China's GDP has been on an upward trend since 1990 and now accounts for more than 45 percent of GDP, while the share of consumption in GDP has declined to less than 35 percent, according to data from Thomson Reuters' Datastream.

    China's goal is to increase the consumption share of GDP to 50 percent over the next 10 years, but this will require faster wage growth, which will add more pressure to the country's inflation.

    Data from the People's Bank of China on Wednesday showed financial institutions' yuan positions had a net gain of 376.94 billion yuan ($59 billion) in August, 72 percent more than in July and the biggest increase in five months.

    The numbers suggested a surge in flows of speculative capital into China as investors bet on the nation's growth and prospects for gains in the yuan.

    天堂√在线中文最新版| 国产高清中文手机在线观看| 中文www新版资源在线| 色欲狠狠躁天天躁无码中文字幕| 欧美中文字幕在线| 内射无码午夜多人| 亚洲AV无码久久精品色欲| а天堂中文最新版在线| 国模无码一区二区三区| 亚洲AV永久无码精品| 免费精品久久久久久中文字幕| 中文 在线 日韩 亚洲 欧美| 无码AV中文字幕久久专区| 精品人妻无码区在线视频| 亚洲一区精品中文字幕| 久クク成人精品中文字幕| 日韩电影无码A不卡| 日韩精品无码中文字幕一区二区 | 狠狠躁天天躁无码中文字幕| 久久久久亚洲av成人无码电影| 无码一区二区三区| 亚洲成a人片在线观看无码| 无码精品尤物一区二区三区| 亚洲一日韩欧美中文字幕欧美日韩在线精品一区二 | 日韩AV片无码一区二区不卡电影| 特级做A爰片毛片免费看无码| 中文字幕视频在线| 无码中文字幕日韩专区| 日韩欧美一区二区不卡中文| 亚洲乳大丰满中文字幕| 成人精品一区二区三区中文字幕| 中文毛片无遮挡高潮免费| 中出人妻中文字幕无码| 亚洲中文字幕在线观看| 最新版天堂中文在线| 久久精品?ⅴ无码中文字幕| 精品久久久久久无码中文字幕| 最近免费2019中文字幕大全| 性无码专区一色吊丝中文字幕| 特级做A爰片毛片免费看无码| 精品国产aⅴ无码一区二区|