US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
    Business / Opinion

    The return of the renminbi rant

    By Stephen S.Roach (China Daily) Updated: 2014-05-05 08:22

    China's currency, the renminbi, has been weakening in recent months, resurrecting familiar charges of manipulation, competitive devaluation, and beggar-thy-neighbor mercantilism. In mid-April, the US Treasury expressed "particularly serious concerns" over this development, underscoring what has long been one of the most contentious economic-policy issues between the United States and China.

    This is a timeworn debate - politically inspired and grounded in bad economics - that does a serious disservice to both sides by diverting attention from far more important issues affecting the US-China economic relationship. Taken to its extreme, America's accusations risk pushing the world's two largest economies down the slippery slope of trade frictions, protectionism, or something even worse.

    The return of the renminbi rant
    Yuan exchange rate's floating range widened  
    The return of the renminbi rant
    First, the facts: Since hitting its high watermark on January 14, the renminbi has depreciated by 3.4 percent relative to the US dollar through April 25. This follows a cumulative appreciation of 37 percent since July 21, 2005, when China dropped its dollar peg and shifted its currency regime to a so-called "managed float." Relative to where it started nearly nine years ago, the renminbi is still up 32.5 percent.

    Over the same period, there has been a dramatic adjustment of China's international balance-of-payments position. The current-account surplus - the most telling symptom of an undervalued currency - has narrowed from a record 10.1 percent of GDP in 2007 to just 2.1 percent in 2013. The International Monetary Fund's latest forecast suggests that the surplus will hold at around 2 percent of GDP in 2014.

    Seen against this background, US officials' handwringing over the recent modest reversal in the renminbi's exchange rate appears absurd. With China's external position much closer to balance, there is good reason to argue that the renminbi, having appreciated by nearly one-third since mid-2005, is now within a reasonable proximity of "fair value." The IMF conceded as much in its latest in-depth review of the Chinese economy, which calls the renminbi "moderately undervalued" by 5-10 percent. This stands in contrast to its earlier assessments of "substantial" undervaluation.

    America's fixation on the renminbi is a classic case of political denial. With US workers remaining under intense pressure in terms of both job security and real wages, politicians have understandably been put on the spot. In response, they have fixated on the Chinese component of a long-gaping trade deficit, charging that currency manipulation is the culprit to the long festering woes of the American middle class.

    Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

    Hot Topics

    Editor's Picks
    ...
    ...
    高清无码视频直接看| 日韩AV无码一区二区三区不卡毛片| 日韩中文字幕在线播放| 色综合AV综合无码综合网站| 久久久久久久人妻无码中文字幕爆 | 久久综合精品国产二区无码| 精品久久久无码人妻中文字幕豆芽| 无码精品人妻一区二区三区人妻斩 | 亚洲国产精品无码久久久不卡| √天堂中文官网8在线| 国产精品无码素人福利不卡| 亚洲va无码va在线va天堂| 中文字幕手机在线观看| www.中文字幕| 亚洲日韩精品无码专区网站| av区无码字幕中文色| 色综合久久中文字幕无码| 久久亚洲AV无码精品色午夜| 国产资源网中文最新版| 五月天中文字幕mv在线| 中中文字幕亚洲无线码| 青春草无码精品视频在线观| 国产高清无码视频| 亚洲精品无码不卡| 国产拍拍拍无码视频免费| 日日摸日日踫夜夜爽无码| 无码专区狠狠躁躁天天躁| 成在人线av无码免费高潮喷水| 欧美亚洲精品中文字幕乱码免费高清 | 久久久久久久人妻无码中文字幕爆| 中文无码熟妇人妻AV在线| 国产精品 中文字幕 亚洲 欧美 | а√在线中文网新版地址在线| 中文国产成人精品久久不卡| 亚洲中文久久精品无码| 亚洲欧美日韩中文久久| 亚洲综合中文字幕无线码| 中文字幕AV影片在线手机播放| AV色欲无码人妻中文字幕| 亚洲AV无码专区在线播放中文 | 中文亚洲AV片在线观看不卡 |