Yuan appreciation won't help foreign firms: study

    Updated: 2012-02-15 13:54

    By Zhang Yuwei (China Daily)

      Comments() Print Mail Large Medium  Small 分享按鈕 0

    Yuan appreciation won't help foreign firms: study

    NEW YORK - While the Chinese currency rate has been a major topic of debate among US lawmakers, who often link it to the trade deficit and manufacturing job losses in the US, one factor has not been discussed much - that appreciation of the yuan would affect non-financial and particularly manufacturing companies listed on the international stock markets.

    In a recent study on the impact of the revaluation on companies, two economists - Barry Eichengreen, of the University of California, Berkeley, and Tong Hui, of the International Monetary Fund - argued that yuan appreciation might have an overall negative effect on foreign companies.

    The authors examined the performance of share prices of more than 6,000 manufacturing companies from 44 countries in response to two instances of yuan appreciation announced by the People's Bank of China, in July 2005 and June 2010.

    China revalued the yuan by 2.1 percent against the dollar in July 2005, and the yuan has appreciated at least 7 percent against the dollar since June 2010.

    "Overall, the message is that across-the-board inferences are misleading," said Tong.

    "The long-run effect is difficult to estimate due to compounding factors. But around those two PBOC announcements, the US stock markets experienced negative returns (-0.69 percent around July 21, 2005, and -0.39 percent around June 21, 2010), much lower than other countries," Tong said.

    Tong noted that suppliers of materials and components for assembly in China, in contrast, experienced no significant net market-valuation effects at the time of the two PBOC announcements.

    The two economists indicated in the report that while yuan appreciation has a positive effect on companies exporting finished goods to China, it has little positive and possibly a negative effect on those providing materials for processing in China. And that latter phenomenon is increasing in the manufacturing industry, in particular, because China is regarded as the "world's factory".

    "The impact of renminbi appreciation - actual and prospective - on companies, sectors and countries will be very different depending on their circumstances and the specific nature of their interaction with China," Tong said.

    The report indicated that the exchange rate of yuan is not so simple an issue as those who advocate the appreciation contend.

    The US Senate passed a bill in October proposing tariffs on goods from any country deemed to be undervaluing its currency. However, the bill was not supported by the House of Representatives or President Barack Obama. The yuan issue has also been frequently raised in the current Republican presidential candidate debates, experts say, mostly because they want to use China as a scapegoat. Republican front-runner Mitt Romney has called China "a currency manipulator".

    Yuan appreciation will not solve the unemployment situation in the US and it will not help improve the manufacturing competitiveness, said Eichengreen, co-author of the report.

    "China is only one of the many US trade partners, and the level of the currency is just one of many things that affect China-US trade. If you put that together, even a substantial appreciation of China's currency wouldn't have a big aggregate impact on the US," he said.

    91无码人妻精品一区二区三区L| 国产激情无码视频在线播放性色| 国产成人无码精品久久久免费| 亚洲一日韩欧美中文字幕欧美日韩在线精品一区二 | 亚洲AV无码一区二区乱孑伦AS | 中文字幕国产精品| 熟妇无码乱子成人精品| 中文字幕国产视频| 日韩亚洲不卡在线视频中文字幕在线观看 | 国模无码一区二区三区不卡| 亚洲一区AV无码少妇电影☆| 欧美激情中文字幕综合一区| 亚洲AV无码一区二区一二区| 国产V亚洲V天堂A无码| 亚洲AV永久无码精品| 人妻无码精品久久亚瑟影视| √天堂中文官网8在线| 精品久久亚洲中文无码| 久久无码一区二区三区少妇| 高清无码视频直接看| 久久精品中文无码资源站| 无码区国产区在线播放| 亚洲精品无码AV人在线播放| 日韩精品无码一区二区三区AV| 最近中文字幕完整版资源| 亚洲成人中文字幕| 中文字幕日韩欧美一区二区三区| 日韩精品无码AV成人观看| 国精品无码一区二区三区在线蜜臀 | 国产精品无码av在线播放| 麻豆亚洲AV永久无码精品久久| 日韩人妻无码一区二区三区99| 中国无码人妻丰满熟妇啪啪软件| 精品无码免费专区毛片| 亚洲精品色午夜无码专区日韩| 亚洲精品无码MV在线观看 | 久久亚洲AV成人无码国产| 国产无遮挡无码视频免费软件| av无码久久久久久不卡网站| 国产精品无码免费专区午夜| 久久青青草原亚洲av无码|